Fair enough. But there are events they can't predict - I still think Nokia buying Palm makes fantastic business sense (webOS with 500 extra programmers working on it could easily be the equal of iPhone OS in every area where it doesn't already match / beat it), and if that were to happen we'd likely see a large chunk of the Symbian share being replaced by that. And nobody a year and a half ago had any idea AppStore would turn out to be such a big deal.
I don't know if Android will have much of a price advantage over iPhone for phones with similar hardware features (i.e, fast processors, lots of memory, and large capacitive touchscreens), though - remember, the iPhone is likely to continue vastly outselling any single Android model, meaning Apple's economies of scale will beat out those of HTC / Moto et al, and Apple's probably making enough money from AppStore alone to fund iPhone OS development at this point (much of which tends to be AppStore-centric anyway; most of the big 3.0 features - push notifications, In-App Purchase, parental controls, clipboard, etc - were designed to help third-party software), so the per-phone software cost is trivial. (and it's not zero for Android users, who still have to do at least some customization even if Google's giving the OS away for free) At the extreme low end they might be beaten on price by domestic manufacturers in China, but those customers aren't likely to be buying much third-party software anyway
I don't know if Android will have much of a price advantage over iPhone for phones with similar hardware features (i.e, fast processors, lots of memory, and large capacitive touchscreens), though - remember, the iPhone is likely to continue vastly outselling any single Android model, meaning Apple's economies of scale will beat out those of HTC / Moto et al, and Apple's probably making enough money from AppStore alone to fund iPhone OS development at this point (much of which tends to be AppStore-centric anyway; most of the big 3.0 features - push notifications, In-App Purchase, parental controls, clipboard, etc - were designed to help third-party software), so the per-phone software cost is trivial. (and it's not zero for Android users, who still have to do at least some customization even if Google's giving the OS away for free) At the extreme low end they might be beaten on price by domestic manufacturers in China, but those customers aren't likely to be buying much third-party software anyway